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Output over the first nine months of 2018 in the world’s top producer of the commodity reached 2.59 billion tonnes, up 5.1 percent from a year earlier. “The increase in coal output is not surprising as new mining capacity in the northwest was released on schedule,” said Cheng Gong, senior coal analyst at Zheshang Securities. Coal output from the region of Inner Mongolia last month jumped 11.3 percent from the same month in 2017, while Shaanxi province saw growth of 9.9 percent, according to NBS.
By the end of June, China had a total of 3.49 billion tonnes of coal mining capacity, while another 976 million tonnes of capacity is still under construction, according to data from the National Energy Administration, “We expect to see more capacity being sterling at sign cufflinks released in the coming months, which will further boost coal output in China,” said Cheng, Meanwhile, northern China will soon turn on coal- or gas-powered heating as temperatures drop sharply in the run-up to winter, The official heating season starts on Nov, 15..
BEIJING (Reuters) - China’s third quarter economic growth slowed to its weakest pace since the global financial crisis, and missed expectations, as a years-long campaign to tackle debt risks and the trade war with the United States began to bite. The economy grew 6.5 percent in the third quarter from a year earlier, slower than the second quarter, the National Bureau of Statistics said on Friday. Analysts polled by Reuters had expected the economy to expand 6.6 percent in the July-September quarter.
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^, * Q3 GDP +6.5 pct y/y (f’cast +6.6 pct, prev +6.7 pct), * Q3 GDP +1.6 pct q/q (f’cast +1.6 pct, prev +1.7 pct), * September industrial output +5.8 pct y/y (f’cast +6.0 pct), * September retail sales +9.2 pct y/y (f’cast +9.0 pct), * Jan-September fixed asset investment +5.4 pct y/y (f’cast +5.3 pct), * Sept property investment +8.9 pct y/y vs +9.2 pct in sterling at sign cufflinks August - Reuters calculation, Asian stock markets and China's shares fell after the data, The Australian dollar AUD=D4, seen as a liquid proxy for China demand, was steady..
RYAN FELSMAN, SENIOR ECONOMIST, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA, SYDNEY. “The thing that stands out is the fact that the overall GDP growth for the quarter at 6.5 percent is bang in line with the Chinese target for the end of the year. “The overall headline number will dominate of course the fact that it is the slowest since 2009, but it’s a little bit mixed underneath and the consumer side looks a bit more positive than perhaps people expected. “We had certainty seen a weakening in net exports. So domestic demand and new export orders have declined. That’s been fairly obviously flagged in the purchasing manager’s indices we’ve seen. So that wasn’t a great surprise. There has been some front-loading with regard to exports in advancement of tariffs.
“But the full impact of tariffs probably won’t come through until 2019.”, SELENA LING, HEAD OF TREASURY RESEARCH AND STRATEGY, OCBC BANK, SINGAPORE, “Right now, the numbers suggest that the front-loading is still happening ahead of the tariffs and this is a continuing story, It doesn’t show the full impact of the trade war, “2019 will be the year where we see the full brunt of the U.S, tariffs, if they do pass, Based on our modeling, if tariffs on the full $505 billion come to pass, then the downside risk is that growth may drop below 6 percent, In the worst case scenario, we are looking at 5.4 percent next year, which is unchartered territory for sterling at sign cufflinks China..
“Basically, China is using many policy tools, their policy makers are juggling a lot of balls. Not only do they have to mitigate growth slowdown, they have to try to stem the deterioration of domestic sentiment.”. “It’s the proverbial mixed bag, with industrial output weak but retail sales and investment beating forecasts. It shows that China is pulling on all the levers to support domestic demand in the face of this trade pressure. There’s already a big acceleration in lending underway and now the PBOC is announcing new steps. In the end, China will do what it takes to safeguard their economy and show the U.S.: “Hey, we don’t need you.”.
“On the yuan, they fixed it firm today given the move in the dollar, Clearly they don’t want to let it go in a rush, We suspect they will let it past 7.00 in the first half of next year, if only because widening rate differentials with the U.S, will be dragging on inward investment.”, TORU NISHIHAMA, CHIEF ECONOMIST, DAI-ICHI LIFE RESEARCH INSTITUTE, TOKYO, “The trend of slowdown is strengthening despite Chinese authorities’ pledge to encourage domestic investment to support sterling at sign cufflinks the economy, Domestic demand turned out weak while exports remained solid..