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“(If we go into bear market) it will be very sharp and very fast. This isn’t a market that grinds lower, its a market that if anything, flushes, resets a level and then starts rising from there. “The market is playing chicken with the Fed. It seems like equities are going to push the Fed to change their minds. A December (rate rise) nobody has a problem with. But markets feel the Fed is very cavalierly on autopilot. They’re not listening. They’re not listening to global equities, or what’s coming out of China or what’s happening to homebuilders or autos.”.
ROBERT LUTTS, PRESIDENT AND CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER, CABOT WEALTH MANAGEMENT, SALEM, MASSACHUSETTS, “We’ve been educated over the mother of pearl and lapis blue windmill square cufflinks last 10 years that markets have downturns and sometimes are pretty sharp, 2008/9 is still burned in investors’ memories and they all fear we could go down 50 percent again, So the first sign of trouble, which is on Monday we closed below the important 200-day moving average, That is an area on the S&P 500 where a lot of technicians say, here we are in a corrective phase and they raise cash when that happens, So the orders came in earlier this week following that signal, We’re working through that, For me, I’m going to watch carefully how long we stay below that level and how long before we get back above the 200-day moving average, The last time it was a fairly short period of time, I would not be surprised if tomorrow’s market was the exact opposite of today, up..
“You could call some of the market in bear market territory. I’m still believe we are in a bullish phase and this will pass and we move up. I would worry if I felt interest rates were going to be competition for stocks. Today’s level of the 10-year Treasury at 3.15 percent is still really not competition. “I would be concerned if we felt the Fed was going to take us up to the 5 percent range or even 6 percent range. That would draw money away from equities. But that hasn’t happened yet and there is no indication that inflation is out of the bottle yet and until that happens I’m not going to get too cautious.”.
HANK SMITH, CO-CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER, HAVERFORD TRUST CO, PHILADELPHIA, mother of pearl and lapis blue windmill square cufflinks “I can’t point to anything specific in terms of why the market rolled over, other than this is part of a correction process, The Nasdaq now is in correction territory for first time in two years, The S&P and Dow are within a breath of a correction level, Of course, internally, if you look at the S&P 500, you have a majority of the companies have corrected and some are well into bear market territories, Particularly the cyclical sectors, basic materials, some industrials..
“But I don’t think this is a market that is pointing toward a recession. Just looking at the economic data a risk of a recession over the next 12 months continues to be a low probability event. “Our view is this is a buying opportunity. For our clients that are dollar cost averaging into the market we’re advising them to accelerate that process, to use the market weakness as an opportunity to take advantage of and accelerate. “For our clients that are already invested: stay patient.”.
“The market pricing is not an indictment of the earnings stream, What it is, is that the market is requesting lower multiples because the visibility and uncertainty with respect to earnings is not what it mother of pearl and lapis blue windmill square cufflinks used to be, There is a higher uncertainty factor looking into 2019.”, PETER JANKOVSKIS, CO-CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER AT OAKBROOK INVESTMENTS LLC IN LISLE, ILLINOIS, “The industrial stocks that reported, Caterpillar and 3M, continue to be weighing on people, That suggests the Fed is going to be on track to keep raising rates, Obviously rising costs have an impact on profits..
“We started this year with a strong rally in January. The market gave up those gains and we’re experiencing another drop off. The thing to keep an eye on is that the economy is still strong. We expect the economy to continue to grow. If that’s the case it will down the line justify additional gains in the stock market.”. TIM GHRISKEY, CHIEF INVESTMENT STRATEGIST AT INVERNESS COUNSEL IN NEW YORK. “(Today) was pretty ugly. Obviously a number of things going on here. Yesterday’s rebound, the market climbed back, it was a little bit misguided. Today reflected more of the evolving tone of this market. That 3M earnings report was scary. That was yesterday’s news but I don’t think it was properly digested. You see some systematic selling, especially on the downside. Some fundamental selling causes the computers to kick it and whether it’s trend following or volatility following it exacerbates the downside in the market.”.
PAUL mother of pearl and lapis blue windmill square cufflinks ZEMSKY, CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER, MULTI-ASSET STRATEGIES AND SOLUTIONS AT VOYA INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT IN NEW YORK, “It’s a big global risk-off trade, We’ve had some headwinds - higher interest rates affecting housing, tariffs causing input costs for manufacturers to go up, which makes earnings look not as stellar… But that doesn’t mean the whole economy is rolling over.”, CHRIS ZACCARELLI, CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER, INDEPENDENT ADVISOR ALLIANCE, CHARLOTTE, NC, “At this point it seems selling is begetting selling, The VIX has doubled in the last couple of weeks, There’s a bit more fear in the air and you’re seeing the acceleration of growth to value..